Gunbot wrote:The only thing that could derail Obama is the Bradley effect. Tom Bradley was leading all polls by around 11 points up to the day of voting for California Governor. When the curtain was drawn however, people, knowing that there vote was confidential, pulled the lever for Deukmejian instead and feigned surprise when Bradley lost.
Agreed. This has been speculated and the suggestion is that the polls could currently reflect an error greater than the margin, in McCain's favor...or Obama's detriment (depending on your POV). There were discussions that similar things happened to Kerry in the last presidential election...in that the exit polls did not acurately reflect the actual votes cast....
Some are also speculating that race will inflate this factor, if it does come into play.
I'm not so sure McCain has the pull to win this, despite such a suggestion...however. McCain's made some DREADED mistakes with his base during this 'crisis'....and in doing so, he's actually cast a brighter light on Obama, who's acted with a little more restraint.
My personal issue with McCain (and one of the many reasons I will NOT vote for him) is that he Bush'ed himself. Back during the '92 election, GHWB stated "Read my lips, no new taxes" and subsequently raised taxes. This issue single handedly killed any chance for a strong showing in the republican base. While I'm not looking to debate whether GHWB's tax raise was worthwhile or not....the point I'm making here is that he made a very clear and concise campaign promise and backed off it at the first sign of crissis. McCain did the same thing. He's made clear and concise campaign promises to stop pork-loading and earmarks on Bills....and the first sign of crissis, he stops his campaign, runs to washington to feign leadership, and is one of the first motherfuckers to sign the most pork ladden bill in history.
Why prospective voters aren't stomping all the fuck over McCain for this, is beyond me. He literally cornerstoned his entire fucking campaign on "washington reform" with Porkbarrel spending and earmarks at the top of the fucking list.....yet 3-4 weeks before the election, he casts YES for a bill with over $150 billion in useless fucking pork that will do very little, if anything at all, to help the many mortgage holders in this country that were fucked by wall street greed and douchebag lenders.
McCain should hang for this one error alone....but I need to add one more comment.
McCain got himself caught in an old fashioned checkmate...and anyone with half a brain could have seen it coming. The democrats made it very clear that they wouldn't pass this bailout abortion of a bill, without McCain's support....so that in the very slim chance McCain is elected president, the democrats can tack this abortion of a bill to McCain's legacy (despite who crafted it)....
Hell, Obama could have voted NO for the bailout and not received any fallout from this.
McCain was painted into a corner, hook, line and sinker....by congress. The fact that this fucking idiot could be hoodwinked by congress suggests he is completely and utterly unfit to be commander in chief.
The whole reason behind the checks and balances system of our government, is so that one body of government doesn't get more powerful than another. If the executive can get himself painted into a corner and hoodwinked by congress before he's even elected into office....that casts VERY dark prospects on his ability to execute the office AT ALL.