Monker wrote:conversationpc wrote:Monker wrote:Oh, please, that's just not true. If you had saved your money and invested all of it when Obama took office, you would have made a killing. You invest after a crash, and play it safe during a boom. The Dow in January 2009 was around 8000. Where is it now? You are lying to yourself if you think you would have not made a lot of money - especially if you chose your investments wisely.
No, there's some truth to what he's showing there. It doesn't tell the whole story and people have been making some money in the stock market recently but it is true that inflation has an effect on those prices, meaning the investments aren't worth quite as much as they would have been otherwise.
Oh, yeah, sure, there has been SOOOO MUCH inflation between January 2009 and today. Yeah, right!
The loss of purchasing power (due to a decline in the the value of your dollar) = inflation to you.
"Inflation"... is a rise in prices caused by a growth in the money supply, as that money moves into circulation within the economy.. and more available dollars "chase up" the prices.
The government used to measure money supply growth with M3, but discontinued publishing. They still publish all the datasets required to calculate it. As shown below - The money supply exploded and peaked in 2008, as the Fed/government bailed out everyone except the people...
The problem with inflation is that it requires money to enter the economy... and increase what is called "monetary velocity"... the consequence of which we see as a "rise in prices"
Because the bailouts:
1. Went on banks balance sheets, and
2 The banks have yet to put that money into circulation by lending it.. (thereby causing an increase in monetary velocity)
...We have little to no increase in monetary velocity, so no real increase in inflation...
BUT...
When the dollar declines in value vs rest of the world currencies.. it costs US importers MORE to buy the same thing... this translates to Joe Citizen having to pay MORE for the same thing...
Looking at the $USD Index historically, the only conclusion is that the US as a whole has LOST purchasing power.
So it bears repeating:
The loss of purchasing power (due to a decline in the the value of your dollar) = inflation to you.