Well, age is not going to be an issue. Trump is also in his 70's. So, complaining that Biden is 4yrs older than Trump is a bit silly.
Trump's response to the race protests has been horrible. Threatening police violence, ignoring state and local rights by saying he'll send in troops, and just simply fanning the flames. All he accomplished was talking to his hardened 35% base - and that is not going to get him elected.
Trump owns the current downfall of the economy. He inherited a good economy. It wasn't perfect but it much improved over what W gave Obama. Trump did do some deregulation - and there is room to argue that some of it was bad for things like the environment...and gutted Dodd/Frank which was put into place to avoid a repeat of the Great Recession. And, trade deals...the new NAFTA did some things, but it was not a huge rewrite. These are things that are "OK".
However, he also raised various tariffs. Tariffs are a tax on the American people...because it raises the price of goods...which is inflation. He also started a trade war with China, which is more inflation. All of these things put pressure on companies to raise their prices - because it cost more to make things. For example, Harley Davidson stop production in the US because they felt they would have to raise the price too high for their consumers - and it was cheaper to build things over seas.
In addition to this, he did the corporate tax cut. You think that businesses invested that money back into their companies. The fact is that some of those companies had already planned those bonuses or hiring more workers. I believe an example of that is Apple. The FACT is that most companies did stock buy backs. When a company does this, it raises the price of the stock...therefore those who hold the stock make money, which is mainly executives.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/annemariek ... d1133337fbAnd, that's a Forbes article, a conservative source...not a liberal hack site. Only recently, after the virus, did Trump recognize the issue with buy backs.
So, you have rich people gaining more money, and a few things happening to produce inflation. So, the Fed wanted to raise interest rates to slow down the economy - and they needed some breathing room because interest rates were already close to 0. But, Trump started critiquing the Fed, and blah, blah, blah. Whether that is the reason or not, the Fed held off a bit on raising rates...and that is not a good thing.
So, you now have an overheated economy, inflation pressures, a Fed that will not act, and bloated stock marked that did not represent the reality - even when short term bonds had a higher interest than long term bonds - an indicator that a recession is coming. The market ignored all of this to hit that record high. We were in a bubble...the market was WAY over valued.
Then the virus hit and popped the bubble.
The stock market that you point to did exactly what it was supposed to do when it crashed a few months ago. Stocks were over valued and they crashed. To fight a recession, one of the main tools the Fed uses is to lower interest rates...but they couldn't do much because they were already near 0 due to Trump's whining.
Then he mismanaged the virus and gave ZERO leadership,,,and never has. Governers and mayors shut down the economy - not Trump. Then Trump encouraged them to open the economy FAR too early so many areas may have to lock down again. ALL of this uncertainty hurts the economy...and Trump's failed leadership is at the head of it. He got us here by over heating the economy, whining about the Fed's decisions, and mismanaging the virus. He owns this "recession" that we are in.
Unemployment - funny how when he was running he said the numbers were fake...but as soon as he gets in office the numbers are real. There is video of him doing a rally in 2016 where he said the "real" unemployment rate was 30%. That is just crazy., for 2016. But, not too long ago it was around 20%. Also, during the Great Recession, we were loosing hundreds of thousands of jobs per month...and that was horrible. During Trump's virus response, we were losing MILLION of jobs per month.
So, Trump owns the failure of the economy. He owns the fact that the federal government had no leadership for the virus. I think most voters KNOW this.
Vice President. As long as he does bit pick a Dan Quayle or Sarah Palin, it won't matter much. So, as long as they can spell "potatoe" correctly, and can say which magazines they read, the choice will be fine. Elizabeth Warren would be an excellent choicem Imo. I doubt very much that will cause Democrats to stay home...I think it would unite the party. And,if Trump goes down the "Poccahanos" path, I think it will backfire. In fact, I thought Warren maybe made a deal with Biden and Sanders to not endorse either and in exchange who ever got the nomination she would be VP for that person. HOWEVER, now with the race issue so hot, maybe he will choose a black woman. The only one I do not like is Kamala Harris...she just seems to reckless.
IMO, most people see most of this. If not, the Lincoln Project has been throwing some great ads at Trump to emphasize some of this. At this time, Biden is WAY ahead...15pts or so nationally, ahead in almost all swing states, and is challenging some Republican states - like Texas. At election time, Clinton had a three point lead nationally and if you look at the swing state polls at election time, Trump had caught up to Clinton.
So, IMO, right now, Biden would CRUSH Trump...and I am not seeing a Trump that is willing to do anything about it to win.