The_Noble_Cause wrote:Monker wrote:I'm glad Sanders labeled himself a socialist. It needs to stick now so people realize he can't win the election. In most ways, I think he handed the nomination to Clinton. I think he knows he can't win. He is 20pts down nationally...any other year, people would be saying he should drop out.
This is just completely WRONG. As of August, Bernie was polling better on a national level than Obama was at the same point in 2007. Also, by this time in 2007, Obama and other Dems had received far more exposure after participating in nearly TEN televised debates. Now, after just ONE Dem debate, you think Bernie should drop out and the nomination should be handed to Hillary? In less than two days since the debate, Sanders raised 2 million from small donors - which, again, outmatched Obama's contributions at this same point in his campaign. For the most recent quarter, Hillary raised $28 million compared to Bernie's $26 million. She has already LOST her fundraising advantage and this is with Hillary being financed by some of the biggest donors in the universe. So it's pretty obvious that Hillary has a real problem and supporters like you are sounding uninformed and unhinged. Once the big money spigot is turned off, Hillary will flounder. It is already a proven fact that many of her Twitter followers are fake, which is emblematic of her support as a whole. Nobody really likes her. Bernie is filling stadiums while Hillary can barely fill a YMCA gymnasium. Thanks to Sanders, Hillary is feeling the burn like the first time Bill gave her an STI. Fuck off.
Look, Clinton consistently polls between %15 - 20 ahead of Sanders nationally. How much he gets in donations or how many people turn up at rallies matter little if people don't vote for him.
What I heard is Bernie is going to stop the huge rallies and start working smaller crowds so he can connect better. He knows these large crowds are nice to show off, but it hasn't translated to the votes he needs to win. He knows that he's lucky to be where he is but if he can't get more people to vote for him then he can't win. Money and crowds don't matter nearly as much as the votes.
And, that's where the difference is between Sanders and Obama...Obama got the votes. Also, I picked Obama to win just as early as I picked Clinton this time...and argued for months with Dean that he would beat Clinton. At that time, Clinton was unelectable and Obama was a force that couldn't be stopped. Nowadays, Sanders is unelectable and Clinton has her shit together so she looks more presidential that anybody else on the Democrat side, and most of the Republican side, too.
I don't believe Sanders is Clinton's real threat anyway. I think Biden is. If Biden enters, then Clinton has a big problem because it is going split her support and suddenly all three of them; Clinton, Sanders, and Biden have a real shot at the nomination. And, Biden is polling the best against the Republicans. THAT is the real threat here, not Democrat Socialism.
Finally, if Biden announces he is not running - I expect Clintons donations to go way, way up...and this race will be over before a single vote is cast.
And, your prediction of Hillary dropping out or being indicted by November was dead wrong.