OT: Dow Plummets More Than 500 Points...YIKES!

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Postby Enigma869 » Thu Sep 18, 2008 11:40 pm

RossValoryRocks wrote:What an antagonistic cocksucker you are. You call me a blowhard? I was, after reading the post just above the one quoted her, going to say "you know John you are right, and I am wrong. Especially after reading and watching some top flight economist take on this whole thing late last night" but now I am just going to tell you what a dick you are. You are easily the most hostile person I have ever had the displeasure of interacting with.

You talk about me saying that I am always right, have you ever gone back and read the stupid shit YOU post?


Just for that, you're off of my Christmas list :shock: Sorry dude, but when come onto a public message board and declare rates are lower than they've been in 10 years, when that is absolutely not true, I am going to call you on it! The difference between your point of view and my point of view is that you're constantly defending moronic politicians, when there isn't one worth defending! I'm not partisan, and never have been. It just pisses me off when I see people post things that are blatant lies, that they try to pass off as the truth...especially coming from someone I know is actually intelligent!


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Postby RossValoryRocks » Thu Sep 18, 2008 11:48 pm

Enigma869 wrote:
RossValoryRocks wrote:What an antagonistic cocksucker you are. You call me a blowhard? I was, after reading the post just above the one quoted her, going to say "you know John you are right, and I am wrong. Especially after reading and watching some top flight economist take on this whole thing late last night" but now I am just going to tell you what a dick you are. You are easily the most hostile person I have ever had the displeasure of interacting with.

You talk about me saying that I am always right, have you ever gone back and read the stupid shit YOU post?


Just for that, you're off of my Christmas list :shock: Sorry dude, but when come onto a public message board and declare rates are lower than they've been in 10 years, when that is absolutely not true, I am going to call you on it! The difference between your point of view and my point of view is that you're constantly defending moronic politicians, when there isn't one worth defending! I'm not partisan, and never have been. It just pisses me off when I see people post things that are blatant lies, that they try to pass off as the truth...especially coming from someone I know is actually intelligent!


John from Boston


Maybe I should have clarified...they are lower than the historical average...would that have been better? I agree the credit market is getting MUCH MUCH tighter due this fiasco on Wall Street. I don't think the economy is a good or as bad as some people would have us believe. I do defend politicians when I think they are right and rip them when they are wrong. I do have a conservative outlook, more libertarian, especially economically so I see higher taxes and such as economic suicide hence I am not supporting Obama.

I also think it is stupid to panic. No good decisions come because of panic. I am looking at this down turn as a buying opportunity and a way to increase, over the long haul, my economic position.

The stock market, even with down turns, over the last 50 years or so has returned an average of 8% per year, some years up, some down, some way up and some way down.

It is myopic to look at the last week and proclaim the end of economic life as we know it. History doesn't bare that position out. In fact after every major correction like this within a year the markets have been up and average of 10%.

It is NOT the end of life as we know it and there is no reason to panic.
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Postby Enigma869 » Fri Sep 19, 2008 12:24 am

RossValoryRocks wrote: Maybe I should have clarified...they are lower than the historical average...would that have been better?


Absolutely! When put that way, it is an absolute fact. As I said in my post, I believe interest rates are indeed low right now (and it's all directly attrtibutable to the fiasco on Wall Street)! The truth when it comes to interest rates is that they are almost guranteed to stay low (relatively speaking). I've heard many people talk about the 14% to 18% mortgage rates of the early 1980's. What they always forget to point out is that the average house cost about $40K back then! With a median home price in the U.S. of $212,400 (and that number is way down), we're NEVER getting close to double digit interest rates again, in my opinion!

RossValoryRocks wrote: I don't think the economy is a good or as bad as some people would have us believe.


I definitely agree with you on those who actually believe our economy is "good". It's not remotely good. Like my buddy SJ (Dan), my economy is just fine. I have always lived within my means, and have never struggled to pay my bills. That said, it doesn't mean I have my head buried in the sand and don't see what's going on around me. Just because everything is great in my world, doesn't mean our country is experiencing prosperous times. The truth of the matter is that unemployment is creeping up to high levels. Whether people want to accept it or not, the housing market in this country is as bad as its ever been. While I do agree with you that there is enough blame to go around for all of this, I'm not sure it even matters whose fault it is, at this point!

RossValoryRocks wrote: I do have a conservative outlook


And that's your right. I tend to have more liberal viewpoints, because I simply don't believe it's my job to tell people what to do with their body (abortion) or who to sleep with (gay marriage). I don't feel like any of it is my business, or anyone else's! But hey, I'm against capital punishment (because I think the criminal justice system in this country is worse than the economy), so go figure!

RossValoryRocks wrote: I am not supporting Obama.


And neither am I. I'm sitting this one out. If the best we can do for politicians is McCain and Obama, I'm not interested. These are two of the worst candidates I've ever seen, and the two VP candidates are easily the worst two I've ever seen in one election!

RossValoryRocks wrote: I also think it is stupid to panic. No good decisions come because of panic.


This we agree on, but it doesn't change the fact that when the media is constantly on the air reporting all of these disasters that people are absolutely going to panic! When you really think about some of these companies that have failed (companies that have been around for more than 100 years), it's probably unrealistic not to expect people to panic. Some of these companies survived "The Great Depression", but couldn't survive this economic downturn.

RossValoryRocks wrote: I am looking at this down turn as a buying opportunity and a way to increase, over the long haul, my economic position.


I think for those who are financially solvent enough, this is a GREAT time to buy, buy, buy. I also think it's a great time to buy a home, with prices WAY down and mortgage rates very affordable. I just think it's prudent to point out that many people who could get a mortgage as recently as a year ago, may not get one today. Two years ago, one out of every 25 mortgage applications that crossed my desk got denied. Now, it seems like just 2 out of 25 get approved, so the pendulum has definitely swung in the other direction.

RossValoryRocks wrote: The stock market, even with down turns, over the last 50 years or so has returned an average of 8% per year, some years up, some down, some way up and some way down.


No argument from me here. The stock market, historically, has done VERY well, even in spite of some historic crashes!

RossValoryRocks wrote:It is myopic to look at the last week and proclaim the end of economic life as we know it. History doesn't bare that position out. In fact after every major correction like this within a year the markets have been up and average of 10%.

It is NOT the end of life as we know it and there is no reason to panic.



See that, we actually don't disagree on everything. I agree with EVERYTHING here! I have said in the past that I don't believe the world is ending. I have ZERO doubt that our economy and country will eventually be just fine. I just don't think it's going to happen next week, or even next year!



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Postby G.I.Jim » Fri Sep 19, 2008 2:00 am

Both of you guys can kiss my ass!!! :shock: Just kidding...carry on! :lol:
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Postby Lula » Fri Sep 19, 2008 3:19 am

i don't live beyond my means. i did not screw up my credit, i'm establishing my credit. i'm a cash only kind of person. i try to save. i contribute to my retirement each month. i don't want to leave the impression that i'm a careless consumer. i will be a homeowner and my son will go to a good college. i am just trying to make ends meet like the next guy.

how is it in a capitalistic society the taxpayer has to carry the burden of saving wall street? the average taxpayer sure doesn't reap the benefits that the big boys do. wasn't the point of regulations to prevent this sort of situation? how the hell is a (mccain) commission going to fix this?
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Postby RossValoryRocks » Fri Sep 19, 2008 3:25 am

Lula wrote:i don't live beyond my means. i did not screw up my credit, i'm establishing my credit. i'm a cash only kind of person. i try to save. i contribute to my retirement each month. i don't want to leave the impression that i'm a careless consumer. i will be a homeowner and my son will go to a good college. i am just trying to make ends meet like the next guy.

how is it in a capitalistic society the taxpayer has to carry the burden of saving wall street? the average taxpayer sure doesn't reap the benefits that the big boys do. wasn't the point of regulations to prevent this sort of situation? how the hell is a (mccain) commission going to fix this?


Oh I agree...we shouldn't be bailing out Wall Street, except in this case. If the Fed and other central banks had not stepped in we would be in very deep shit right now.

Think 1929 X 10.
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Postby S2M » Fri Sep 19, 2008 3:51 am

RossValoryRocks wrote:
Lula wrote:i don't live beyond my means. i did not screw up my credit, i'm establishing my credit. i'm a cash only kind of person. i try to save. i contribute to my retirement each month. i don't want to leave the impression that i'm a careless consumer. i will be a homeowner and my son will go to a good college. i am just trying to make ends meet like the next guy.

how is it in a capitalistic society the taxpayer has to carry the burden of saving wall street? the average taxpayer sure doesn't reap the benefits that the big boys do. wasn't the point of regulations to prevent this sort of situation? how the hell is a (mccain) commission going to fix this?


Oh I agree...we shouldn't be bailing out Wall Street, except in this case. If the Fed and other central banks had not stepped in we would be in very deep shit right now.

Think 1929 X 10.


When is it going to end?

Bailing out farmers....
Bailing out Wall Street....
Bailing out Airlines...
Bailing out OTHER countries....

How about bailing out the average joe...who works everyday. Now that would be a novel idea.
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Postby Enigma869 » Fri Sep 19, 2008 3:51 am

Lula wrote:how is it in a capitalistic society the taxpayer has to carry the burden of saving wall street?



Tough to give a cogent answer to this question! I guess all we can hope for, as Americans, is that AIG gets their act together and is able to re-pay the $85 Billion! Obviously, if they can't, we're really fucked! If they can, the Fed gets 11% interest back on $85 Billion. Given the present state of our economy, I wouldn't bet on AIG repaying this debt!


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Postby Rhiannon » Fri Sep 19, 2008 4:05 am

StocktontoMalone wrote:How about bailing out the average joe...who works everyday. Now that would be a novel idea.


Word. But the average joe is usually going to be self-reliant and pull himself out of his own rut. The average joe doesn't rely on the government to help him and instead busts his own ass to take care of his own. MOST average joes.
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Postby RossValoryRocks » Fri Sep 19, 2008 4:06 am

Enigma869 wrote:
Lula wrote:how is it in a capitalistic society the taxpayer has to carry the burden of saving wall street?



Tough to give a cogent answer to this question! I guess all we can hope for, as Americans, is that AIG gets their act together and is able to re-pay the $85 Billion! Obviously, if they can't, we're really fucked! If they can, the Fed gets 11% interest back on $85 Billion. Given the present state of our economy, I wouldn't bet on AIG repaying this debt!


John from Boston


They have 2 years to pay it off what what I read.

Don't you wish you could pay off $85 billion in 2 years?!
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Postby S2M » Fri Sep 19, 2008 5:32 am

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Postby nolippin » Fri Sep 19, 2008 6:19 am

RVR, will you please point me to something in black and white stating that retirement accounts are insured up to $250K?? People who know a lot more about this than I are questioning that, and I have read that the FDIC insures only $100K per person not per account. Any help would be appreciated as I'm in the dark about what to do.



RossValoryRocks wrote:
Enigma869 wrote:
RossValoryRocks wrote:As I said before it is EXACTLY this type of hysterical reaction that causes the runs on the banks in the first place.


What the hell is so "hysterical" about pointing out the deposits are only insured by the FDIC up to $100K??? You do realize that just within the past few months that banks have gone under, and people have lost any of their money that was over $100K, right??? I don't think it's remotely "hysterical" to advise people to be prudent and insure their deposits, by not subjecting anything over $100K to a loss! I know you believe the economny is absolutely stupendous, but that doesn't change the reality of what is actually going on. Do I think the U.S. can't recover from this? Absolutely NOT! I have zero doubt that this country will emerge and that these things are cyclical. I just think it's absurd when a handful of people act like "Nothing is really a big deal", and "there is nothing wrong with our economy" BS.


John from Boston


Well I do think things are not as bad as people make the out to be. you do know that the FDIC ensures regular checking and savings to $100K but did you know that most retirement accounts are ensured to $250K? No of course you didn't. You are too busy being a dickhead to research anything.

I think people saying "Get your money out" is what causes bank TO FAIL. There is NO NEED for people to make a run on the banks. Listening to all the experts on the news last night I only heard ONE expert say anything remotely close to that.

You do realize that only 11 Banks have failed so far in 2008. Only ONE was a big bank, IndyMac.

Here is an interesting article on Bank Runs... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank_run

As the article says bank runs become a self-fullfilling prophecy.

And I do think it is hysteria and and is not grounded in the realities of the market. It's called a PANIC for a reason and everyone knows that poor decisions envariably happen when people panic.

That's my opinion based on current information, preceding history and current monetary policy. What's your opinion based on??
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Postby RossValoryRocks » Fri Sep 19, 2008 6:30 am

nolippin wrote:RVR, will you please point me to something in black and white stating that retirement accounts are insured up to $250K?? People who know a lot more about this than I are questioning that, and I have read that the FDIC insures only $100K per person not per account. Any help would be appreciated as I'm in the dark about what to do.


http://www.fdic.gov/deposit/deposits/in ... index.html

There ya go!
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Postby Enigma869 » Fri Sep 19, 2008 6:50 am

nolippin wrote:RVR, will you please point me to something in black and white stating that retirement accounts are insured up to $250K?? People who know a lot more about this than I are questioning that, and I have read that the FDIC insures only $100K per person not per account. Any help would be appreciated as I'm in the dark about what to do.



The first thing I would do in to consult with a certified financial planner. Advice on the internet is worth exactly what it cost! Also, Stu is correct that the FDIC does insure some retirement accounts (not all) up to $250K. They spell out which specific ones on their website!


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Postby nolippin » Fri Sep 19, 2008 6:54 am

Thank you! Much appreciated.



RossValoryRocks wrote:
nolippin wrote:RVR, will you please point me to something in black and white stating that retirement accounts are insured up to $250K?? People who know a lot more about this than I are questioning that, and I have read that the FDIC insures only $100K per person not per account. Any help would be appreciated as I'm in the dark about what to do.


http://www.fdic.gov/deposit/deposits/in ... index.html

There ya go!
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Postby RossValoryRocks » Fri Sep 19, 2008 7:33 am

Enigma869 wrote:
nolippin wrote:RVR, will you please point me to something in black and white stating that retirement accounts are insured up to $250K?? People who know a lot more about this than I are questioning that, and I have read that the FDIC insures only $100K per person not per account. Any help would be appreciated as I'm in the dark about what to do.



The first thing I would do in to consult with a certified financial planner. Advice on the internet is worth exactly what it cost! Also, Stu is correct that the FDIC does insure some retirement accounts (not all) up to $250K. They spell out which specific ones on their website!


John from Boston


Except it's from the FDIC people themselves in this case, and spells it all out. I didn't exactly use a Wiki to get the info! :lol:
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Postby nolippin » Fri Sep 19, 2008 8:05 am

It was an IRA that I needed info on, and it is covered up to $250K. The link was very helpful. Thanks again.


RossValoryRocks wrote:
Enigma869 wrote:
nolippin wrote:RVR, will you please point me to something in black and white stating that retirement accounts are insured up to $250K?? People who know a lot more about this than I are questioning that, and I have read that the FDIC insures only $100K per person not per account. Any help would be appreciated as I'm in the dark about what to do.



The first thing I would do in to consult with a certified financial planner. Advice on the internet is worth exactly what it cost! Also, Stu is correct that the FDIC does insure some retirement accounts (not all) up to $250K. They spell out which specific ones on their website!


John from Boston


Except it's from the FDIC people themselves in this case, and spells it all out. I didn't exactly use a Wiki to get the info! :lol:
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Postby Enigma869 » Fri Sep 19, 2008 12:53 pm

Here we go again! Looks like The Fed is putting together quite "the master plan" here to bail out a ton of banks. I heard earlier this evening that the Fed is going to be purchasing endless bad mortgages, to enable the banks to remove the bad debt from their books. The theory is that it will stimulate the economy by allowing the banks to begin lending money again and boost consumer confidence. Good thing the Federal Reserve has their printing presses running overtime right now to print more money!

http://money.cnn.com/2008/09/18/news/ec ... tm?cnn=yes


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Postby RossValoryRocks » Fri Sep 19, 2008 12:58 pm

Enigma869 wrote:Here we go again! Looks like The Fed is putting together quite "the master plan" here to bail out a ton of banks. I heard earlier this evening that the Fed is going to be purchasing endless bad mortgages, to enable the banks to remove the bad debt from their books. The theory is that it will stimulate the economy by allowing the banks to begin lending money again and boost consumer confidence. Good thing the Federal Reserve has their printing presses running overtime right now to print more money!

http://money.cnn.com/2008/09/18/news/ec ... tm?cnn=yes


John from Boston


They did this back in the 80's and 90's to cover the S&L meltdowns...they did something similar during the Great Depression as well. It seems to have worked.
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Postby Enigma869 » Fri Sep 19, 2008 1:12 pm

RossValoryRocks wrote:They did this back in the 80's and 90's to cover the S&L meltdowns...they did something similar during the Great Depression as well. It seems to have worked.


Yes, I remember when this was done in the 80's, and it absolutely did work. Hopefully, it will work this time around also. I will at least give the present administration (who I think has been beyond LOST on the economy) credit for FINALLY going after the root of all of these problems, which is the housing market!


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Postby RossValoryRocks » Fri Sep 19, 2008 1:25 pm

Enigma869 wrote:
RossValoryRocks wrote:They did this back in the 80's and 90's to cover the S&L meltdowns...they did something similar during the Great Depression as well. It seems to have worked.


Yes, I remember when this was done in the 80's, and it absolutely did work. Hopefully, it will work this time around also. I will at least give the present administration (who I think has been beyond LOST on the economy) credit for FINALLY going after the root of all of these problems, which is the housing market!


John from Boston


What the market needs TIME. Everything today (as we all know) happens so fast. This will free up credit, and give the market time to unwind all these bad loans and as I understand it, they will not allow foreclosures on these bad loans, keeping people in their houses until the loans can be fixed, or the house sold, or their finances improve, which is a good thing too.

IF, and that is a big if, IF the current administration gets a handle on this in the next 2 weeks, McCain wins in a walk. If they don't Obama in an landslide!
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Postby slucero » Fri Sep 19, 2008 2:07 pm

get ready for insane inflation....

What the Fed does every time it lowers rates or injects funding into the economy is print money, diluting the money supply. This means more "dollars" are present in the economy... so prices will rise.... which by definition is INFLATION.

The only way the Fed can fight inflation is to RAISE rates (remember those 80's Fed rates?)... which will cool off the economy... which is already pretty cold now....

Creating another facility to buy bad debt, ala the Resolution Trust Corporation (which STILL has a load of bad assets on its books).... is a taxpayer funded bailout.

This is all VERY close to socialism (corporate) disguised as capitalism.

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Postby Enigma869 » Sat Sep 20, 2008 2:47 am

RossValoryRocks wrote:IF, and that is a big if, IF the current administration gets a handle on this in the next 2 weeks, McCain wins in a walk. If they don't Obama in an landslide!


I honestly don't believe Obama will win this election, regardless of what happens. That shocks me, given the complete ineptitude of the Republican who is currently in office!


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Postby Rhiannon » Sat Sep 20, 2008 2:51 am

Enigma869 wrote:
RossValoryRocks wrote:IF, and that is a big if, IF the current administration gets a handle on this in the next 2 weeks, McCain wins in a walk. If they don't Obama in an landslide!


I honestly don't believe Obama will win this election, regardless of what happens. That shocks me, given the complete ineptitude of the Republican who is currently in office!


Well, two wrongs don't make a right, but a few lefts don't either... or something like that. :P
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