OT: Persepective On Current Gas Prices

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Postby S2M » Sun Oct 26, 2008 12:30 am

RossValoryRocks wrote:
StocktontoMalone wrote:
RossValoryRocks wrote:
Gunbot wrote:Iran and Venezuela want it at a hundred dollars a barrel, but Saudi Arabia told them to go pound sand, and let the market dictate the price.


Because the Saudi government isn't as dependent on oil price to meet it's obligations. Venezuela and Iran are teetering, government-wise, and need the money to be able to meet the expectations they have generate among their people.

The Saudi's also want Iran held in check and $50-$70 oil helps with this.


I STILL don't understand where you get this line of thought, Stu....

The United states tells the oil producing country (in this case Saudi) what WE'LL be paying for a barrel of oil. Plain and simple. Kissinger sold our souls a LONG time ago.


Well I grew up in the oil industry. My dad was an excutive with Gulf Oil for 30 years, so I know a bit about it more than anyone on this forum for sure. We don't TELL them any thing, and haven't since 1972 when they kicked all the western companies out and nationalized the companies.

So it's not a line of thought. It's the plain simple truth. You may choose not to acknowledge that truth, but it is the truth.

We don't have the power to set oil prices by fiat.

Oh the other reason Venezuela wants $100/barrel oil is that their crude is the thick and very sulphurous variety that has a cost penalty. So while the average for a barrel of crude right now is $61, Venezuela's crude is actually selling for about $55/barrel because it requires extra processing.



Stu, the way you talk in here, your father must've been the president as well.....MY father was a fireman for 38 years. But I damn sure don't know how to clear a fire.....

I've asked people to look into "The Energy Non-Crisis'...obviously YOU didn't......you are wrong, sir.
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Postby conversationpc » Sun Oct 26, 2008 12:47 am

StocktontoMalone wrote:Stu, the way you talk in here, your father must've been the president as well.....MY father was a fireman for 38 years. But I damn sure don't know how to clear a fire.....


That's a pretty poor comparison. Fighting fires is something you have to learn by doing it. Learning about the things that Stu is talking about CAN be learned by hearing about it, reading books, magazines, etc.
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Postby strangegrey » Sun Oct 26, 2008 12:54 am

slucero wrote:The price of oil is falling because demand is dropping like a fucking rock. It will continue to fall as we enter the 2nd Great Depression... cutting production will not increase the price per barrel long term.... only increased demand will...


OPEC is just as fucked as the rest of the world....



agreed, but the speculation bubble that distorted the normal increase in demand has burst....and that's great news. drop in demand, I personally feel, can't explain a more than 50% freefall in the price of oil over the course of 6 weeks. Oil prices were being artificially inflated...
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Postby S2M » Sun Oct 26, 2008 1:02 am

conversationpc wrote:
StocktontoMalone wrote:Stu, the way you talk in here, your father must've been the president as well.....MY father was a fireman for 38 years. But I damn sure don't know how to clear a fire.....


That's a pretty poor comparison. Fighting fires is something you have to learn by doing it. Learning about the things that Stu is talking about CAN be learned by hearing about it, reading books, magazines, etc.


Well I respectfully disagree. While I have NOTHING against Stu, personally, he is widely known to be the board expert on everything known to man. Politics to world finance to global warming to oil.

Unless Stu is in the oil business himself, and is not a 'suit' in that industry....I'm not buying his 'expertise'. Father, or not.

And just what professions can be learned vicariously, and which ones cannot?

As I have stated, the World Bank controls the oil industry, and Saudi Arabia made a deal with Kissinger long ago. We will not drill our reserves....buying exclusively with them, in exchange for them trading in US dollars, and buying our american debt. If we no longer deal with Saudi, the US dollar collapses. Also, if Iran(who is sitting on one the biggest PROVEN oil reserves in the world decides to flood the market with CHEAP oil, and I mean REAL cheap oil, and thus changing the currency from dollars to Euros - the US economy dies, instantly. Now that's REAL terrorism for ya.
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Postby Rip Rokken » Sun Oct 26, 2008 1:57 am

Luvsaugeri wrote:I just got gas for $2.16.

I just heard today that OPEC is decreasing production. That should halt the drop in gas prices!! :roll:


Saw a news snippet that Iran et al were trying to pressure OPEC to keep prices higher... one VERY GOOD reason we should get away from relying on our worst enemies to support our oil habit. My father was telling me last night about T. Boone Picken's energy plan, and it's probably been posted here before, but if not, check it out:

http://www.pickensplan.com/theplan/
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Postby slucero » Sun Oct 26, 2008 3:02 am

Enigma869 wrote:
journel wrote:still $3.50/gallon here...sf bay area!


Right, and the median home price in The Bay Area is still something completely ridiculous, like $700K for a shack! The Bay Area is NEVER a good barometer for what is going on in the rest of the country. Beautiful part of the country, but flippin EXPENSIVE!


John from Boston


Median price of a home in SF Bay Area is $400K

Gas is still higher here because State Gas Tax here does not decrease as the price of Gasoline goes down. Note California's tax rate for gasoline..... 75 friggin cents a gallon... combine that with the special "winter blend" of gasoline required by law here... that's how our gas prices are always higher than elsewhere.
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    Postby slucero » Sun Oct 26, 2008 3:05 am

    Rip Rokken wrote:
    Luvsaugeri wrote:I just got gas for $2.16.

    I just heard today that OPEC is decreasing production. That should halt the drop in gas prices!! :roll:


    Saw a news snippet that Iran et al were trying to pressure OPEC to keep prices higher... one VERY GOOD reason we should get away from relying on our worst enemies to support our oil habit. My father was telling me last night about T. Boone Picken's energy plan, and it's probably been posted here before, but if not, check it out:

    http://www.pickensplan.com/theplan/



    Boones plan is "all about Boone". He owns huge amounts of Nat Gas AND is financing the build of one of the largest wind farms ever.

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    Postby Enigma869 » Sun Oct 26, 2008 3:15 am

    slucero wrote:Median price of a home in SF Bay Area is $400K




    That is absolutely FALSE! Perhaps if you're speaking of an entire area, and not talking about San Francisco! The median price of a home in San Francisco has been NOWHERE near $400K, in probably 15 years! As of 4 days ago, the San Francisco market (which includes Brisbane, Broadmoor Village, Colma, Daly City, Millbrae, San Bruno, South San Francisco) is down 7.1% over the past year, but still has a median price of $650K, so my original estimate wasn't that far off!

    http://www.housingtracker.net/old_housi ... Francisco/


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    Postby journel » Sun Oct 26, 2008 2:29 pm

    Enigma869 wrote:
    journel wrote:still $3.50/gallon here...sf bay area!


    Right, and the median home price in The Bay Area is still something completely ridiculous, like $700K for a shack! The Bay Area is NEVER a good barometer for what is going on in the rest of the country. Beautiful part of the country, but flippin EXPENSIVE!


    John from Boston


    right about flippin expensive...but being beautiful i don't think so... maybe depending on the area but some parts are still ghettoish...we don't deserve a $3.50/gallon though when others are getting it at around $2! partly correct on the $700k shack but prices are going down rapidly...you can get a decent house right now for about $500k and it's still ridiculously high compared to other state!
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    Postby slucero » Sun Oct 26, 2008 3:26 pm

    Your EXACT words.... highlighted red...

    Enigma869 wrote:
    journel wrote:still $3.50/gallon here...sf bay area!


    Right, and the median home price in The Bay Area is still something completely ridiculous, like $700K for a shack! The Bay Area is NEVER a good barometer for what is going on in the rest of the country. Beautiful part of the country, but flippin EXPENSIVE!


    John from Boston


    My EXACT response... "Median price of a home in SF Bay Area is $400K"

    To which you respond....

    Enigma869 wrote:
    That is absolutely FALSE! Perhaps if you're speaking of an entire area, and not talking about San Francisco! The median price of a home in San Francisco has been NOWHERE near $400K, in probably 15 years! As of 4 days ago, the San Francisco market (which includes Brisbane, Broadmoor Village, Colma, Daly City, Millbrae, San Bruno, South San Francisco) is down 7.1% over the past year, but still has a median price of $650K, so my original estimate wasn't that far off!

    http://www.housingtracker.net/old_housi ... Francisco/


    John from Boston



    I never said San Francisco specifically... It appears I'm less "false" than you are....

    http://www.mercurynews.com/realestatenews/ci_10499209

    Foreclosures batter Bay Area median home price
    By Eve Mitchell
    STAFF WRITER
    Article Launched: 09/18/2008 11:40:44 AM PDT

    It used to be location drove the real estate market.

    Now it seems like foreclosure sales are in the drivers seat, pushing down the median price of a Bay Area home sold in August to a record low of $447,000, almost a third less than a year ago, said a report released Thursday by MDA DataQuick.

    Throughout the Bay Area, sales of homes that had been foreclosed upon in the last 12 months accounted for 36.1 percent of all resales in August, compared to just 4.4 percent a year ago and 33.3 percent in July.

    While home sales declined 0.9 percent in the Bay Area from a year ago, Contra Costa County and Solano County saw a big jump in sales along with big price drops during the same time period as bargain hunters snapped up distressed properties in areas that have been hit hard by the foreclosure crisis.

    Having a high level of foreclosures in a neighborhood may be good news for buyers, but it can force sellers who are not in foreclosure to lower prices in order to compete. Banks typically discount foreclosed properties to move them.

    "It sort of establishes a new pricing threshold and that's difficult for sellers who are current on their mortgage and are selling not out of duress," said Earl Rozran, branch manager of the Pleasanton/Hopyard office of Prudential California Realty.

    Before housing prices can start to rise, foreclosed homes that are on the market have to be cleared out.

    The fact that more than one third of Bay Area resales involved foreclosed properties last month is a mixed bag when it comes to evaluating where the market is going, said Matt Anderson, a partner at Oakland-based Foresight Analytics, a real estate analysis and forecasting firm.

    "Prices have fallen to the point where there is increased interest and people are putting fresh money into the market. It's primarily the low prices that are bringing people in," he said.

    In August, a total of 7,232 new and resale houses and condos changed hands in the Bay Area, a 4.7 percent drop from July. The median sales price of $447,000 was down 4.9 percent from July and off 31.8 percent from a year ago. Last month's median price was the lowest since January 2004.

    The median price is the point at which half of the homes sell for more and half sell for less.

    The percentage of resales that were foreclosed properties varied in the Bay Area, ranging from 8.6 percent in San Francisco to 61.3 percent in Solano County. Foreclosure sales accounted for 54.4 percent of resale activity in Contra Costa County, 32.5 percent in Alameda County and 16.6 percent in San Mateo County. In San Joaquin County, they accounted for 73.7% percent of resale activity.

    Steve Dhillon, a Fremont-based Realtor with Realty Experts, said buyers are showing interest in foreclosures.

    "Many of my clients are taking the plunge, buying a foreclosed property such as a three-bedroom house in Union City for 35 percent less than it sold for in 2006,'' he wrote in an e-mail.

    "They feel they can negotiate for a stronger and better deal," said Rozran. Purchasers of foreclosed properties he's worked with have included first-time home buyers and parents buying homes for their children.

    Listings of short sales and foreclosed properties are no longer just associated with outlying areas of eastern Contra Costa County such as Antioch and Brentwood.

    In Pleasanton, 15 percent of the 308 homes now on the market are either bank-owned foreclosure sales or short sales, according to statistics from the Tri-Valley multiple listing service. That number is 44 percent of Livermore's inventory of 437 homes and 36 percent of Dublin's inventory of 191 homes.

    A short sale is when a lender gives approval for a home to be sold for less than the loan amount in order to avoid foreclosures.

    "It's really sort of beginning to permeate the whole area. We had felt here in the Tri-Valley that the problem was kind of isolated to eastern Contra Costa County, maybe parts of Solano (County)," said Rozran, of Prudential California Realty. "It is no longer the exception."

    On the Peninsula, foreclosure activity is still more of the exception. Only 16.6 percent of San Mateo County's resale activity involved foreclosed properties. Most of those transactions are occurring in the northern part of the county and in East Palo Alto, said Sue Walsh, a Realtor with the Burlingame office of Cashin Co. Realtors.

    A large factor in the year-to-year 23.4 percent drop in home sales in the county is that many sellers are reluctant to list their properties in today's market.

    "We are not seeing listings. That coincides with the sales," she said.

    Despite the price-dragging impact of foreclosures, many buyers are still reluctant to purchase a home because they believe home prices will continue to fall, said Rozran.

    He advises such buyers to make an offer on a house that discounts how much they expect prices to drop in the coming months. "You have to build that into the purchase price," Rozran said.

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    Postby Enigma869 » Mon Oct 27, 2008 1:01 am

    slucero wrote:

    I never said San Francisco specifically... It appears I'm less "false" than you are....



    Well, as I said in my post, and the stats I posted, I WAS referring to San Francisco. Obviously the median price isn't going be over $600K in the entire Bay Area. The last time I was in Oakland, it was a war zone, so I'm sure that would help bring down the median price for "The Bay Area"!


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    Postby strangegrey » Mon Oct 27, 2008 1:05 am

    also, not that it should amount to any difference in consideration....but foreclosure percentages will likely have a downward affect on the median price of house sales that produces a gap between that and the true average price of sales by owners...

    Sorta like a zero due to people not showing up to take the test pulling down a test average
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    Postby journeypower » Mon Oct 27, 2008 2:50 am

    let them revive the electric car and release and sell the water-powered car on a massive scale production and surely we will the the fossil fuels go into extinction. behold, the new age of free fuel. :lol: :lol: :lol:
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    Postby slucero » Mon Oct 27, 2008 2:56 am

    Enigma869 wrote:
    slucero wrote:

    I never said San Francisco specifically... It appears I'm less "false" than you are....



    Well, as I said in my post, and the stats I posted, I WAS referring to San Francisco. Obviously the median price isn't going be over $600K in the entire Bay Area. The last time I was in Oakland, it was a war zone, so I'm sure that would help bring down the median price for "The Bay Area"!


    John from Boston


    I see that.. that would be the post you made AFTER calling my post "Absolutley false"... and basically calling me a liar....

    Ironic that I actually wrote "SF BAy Area"... and yet you assumed I meant San Francisco.... :roll:

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    Postby Enigma869 » Mon Oct 27, 2008 3:04 am

    slucero wrote:I see that.. that would be the post you made AFTER calling my post "Absolutley false"... and basically calling me a liar....

    Ironic that I actually wrote "SF BAy Area"... and yet you assumed I meant San Francisco.... :roll:


    Sorry dude...my bad. I do see that you wrote "SF Bay Area", and I mistakenly thought that you were speaking of SF, which has always been (and still is) one of the most outrageously priced cities in this country!


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    Postby RossValoryRocks » Mon Oct 27, 2008 5:33 am

    StocktontoMalone wrote:
    Stu, the way you talk in here, your father must've been the president as well.....MY father was a fireman for 38 years. But I damn sure don't know how to clear a fire.....

    I've asked people to look into "The Energy Non-Crisis'...obviously YOU didn't......you are wrong, sir.


    Look asshole, I asked questions, I learned and I watched my father do his job. Learning about how the oil markets work is not the same as learning how to be a firefighter.

    I know about politics because I am an astute observer, who spends time reading and learning.

    Your sophmoric observations and conspiracy theories don't hold water. So I submit I am not wrong, I submit you are not only wrong, but a whacko and a conspiracy theory gobbling jerk off who shouldn't join conversations where he doesn't have the knowledge or experience to do so.
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    Postby S2M » Mon Oct 27, 2008 6:12 am

    RossValoryRocks wrote:
    StocktontoMalone wrote:
    Stu, the way you talk in here, your father must've been the president as well.....MY father was a fireman for 38 years. But I damn sure don't know how to clear a fire.....

    I've asked people to look into "The Energy Non-Crisis'...obviously YOU didn't......you are wrong, sir.


    Look asshole, I asked questions, I learned and I watched my father do his job. Learning about how the oil markets work is not the same as learning how to be a firefighter.

    I know about politics because I am an astute observer, who spends time reading and learning.

    Your sophmoric observations and conspiracy theories don't hold water. So I submit I am not wrong, I submit you are not only wrong, but a whacko and a conspiracy theory gobbling jerk off who shouldn't join conversations where he doesn't have the knowledge or experience to do so.



    Well....why don't you list all your areas of expertise, so I'll be sure not to join in any of those topics/conversations....

    So far, I have 'assholes', I won't join any conversations about assholes....seeing that you've voiced your astute knowledge on that topic. Your deep comprehension of them is quite evident.

    Also, why the name calling? I've never once used any foul language towards you.

    Finally, at one time a heliocentric model of our solar system was a conspiracy theory. And we all know how that turned out.

    Oh, and one more thing....I don't know ANYONE who would believe what an oil EXECUTIVE says.
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    Postby slucero » Mon Oct 27, 2008 4:34 pm

    StocktontoMalone wrote:
    conversationpc wrote:
    StocktontoMalone wrote:Stu, the way you talk in here, your father must've been the president as well.....MY father was a fireman for 38 years. But I damn sure don't know how to clear a fire.....


    That's a pretty poor comparison. Fighting fires is something you have to learn by doing it. Learning about the things that Stu is talking about CAN be learned by hearing about it, reading books, magazines, etc.


    Well I respectfully disagree. While I have NOTHING against Stu, personally, he is widely known to be the board expert on everything known to man. Politics to world finance to global warming to oil.

    Unless Stu is in the oil business himself, and is not a 'suit' in that industry....I'm not buying his 'expertise'. Father, or not.

    And just what professions can be learned vicariously, and which ones cannot?

    As I have stated, the World Bank controls the oil industry, and Saudi Arabia made a deal with Kissinger long ago. We will not drill our reserves....buying exclusively with them, in exchange for them trading in US dollars, and buying our american debt. If we no longer deal with Saudi, the US dollar collapses. Also, if Iran(who is sitting on one the biggest PROVEN oil reserves in the world decides to flood the market with CHEAP oil, and I mean REAL cheap oil, and thus changing the currency from dollars to Euros - the US economy dies, instantly. Now that's REAL terrorism for ya.



    Funny you mention that StocktontoMalone..... cause at some point in time the Saudis are gonna make a choice... given the economic climate.... and that choice is to take payment in the more "valuable" currency.... which will most likely be the Euro. THis will be predicated on "riding down diminishing demand, maximizing profit" as the world slips into recession

    Mark my words ( and I PRAY I'm wrong) ... the US will start another "crisis" to prop up the dollar valuation... by intervening in another countries affairs, in the name of "pre-emption"... because the day OPEC decides to take payment in something other than USD... the US economy is DONE.

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    Postby Rick » Mon Oct 27, 2008 4:43 pm

    slucero wrote:
    StocktontoMalone wrote:
    conversationpc wrote:
    StocktontoMalone wrote:Stu, the way you talk in here, your father must've been the president as well.....MY father was a fireman for 38 years. But I damn sure don't know how to clear a fire.....


    That's a pretty poor comparison. Fighting fires is something you have to learn by doing it. Learning about the things that Stu is talking about CAN be learned by hearing about it, reading books, magazines, etc.


    Well I respectfully disagree. While I have NOTHING against Stu, personally, he is widely known to be the board expert on everything known to man. Politics to world finance to global warming to oil.

    Unless Stu is in the oil business himself, and is not a 'suit' in that industry....I'm not buying his 'expertise'. Father, or not.

    And just what professions can be learned vicariously, and which ones cannot?

    As I have stated, the World Bank controls the oil industry, and Saudi Arabia made a deal with Kissinger long ago. We will not drill our reserves....buying exclusively with them, in exchange for them trading in US dollars, and buying our american debt. If we no longer deal with Saudi, the US dollar collapses. Also, if Iran(who is sitting on one the biggest PROVEN oil reserves in the world decides to flood the market with CHEAP oil, and I mean REAL cheap oil, and thus changing the currency from dollars to Euros - the US economy dies, instantly. Now that's REAL terrorism for ya.



    Funny you mention that StocktontoMalone..... cause at some point in time the Saudis are gonna make a choice... given the economic climate.... and that choice is to take payment in the more "valuable" currency.... which will most likely be the Euro. THis will be predicated on "riding down diminishing demand, maximizing profit" as the world slips into recession

    Mark my words ( and I PRAY I'm wrong) ... the US will start another "crisis" to prop up the dollar valuation... by intervening in another countries affairs, in the name of "pre-emption"... because the day OPEC decides to take payment in something other than USD... the US economy is DONE.


    Everyone needs to watch this video. Make of it what you will, but at least watch it. This is what StocktontoMalone is talking about. The facts that are brought are damn hard to refute.

    http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid ... isis&hl=en
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    Postby strangegrey » Tue Oct 28, 2008 12:12 am

    Rick wrote:Everyone needs to watch this video. Make of it what you will, but at least watch it. This is what StocktontoMalone is talking about. The facts that are brought are damn hard to refute.

    http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid ... isis&hl=en


    Rick, thanks for the video...watching it now...but the first 5 minutes are rather chilling...
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    Postby conversationpc » Tue Oct 28, 2008 12:15 am

    strangegrey wrote:
    Rick wrote:Everyone needs to watch this video. Make of it what you will, but at least watch it. This is what StocktontoMalone is talking about. The facts that are brought are damn hard to refute.

    http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid ... isis&hl=en


    Rick, thanks for the video...watching it now...but the first 5 minutes are rather chilling...


    I watched that and he definitely has some points but I also found out not long after watching it that he is not as accurate as he would like to believe. I don't have time to go back through it now but don't believe everything you hear from that guy.
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    Postby squirt1 » Tue Oct 28, 2008 5:17 am

    Some gas stations in Cincinnati UNDER $2.00 . I feel for poor sick Armedinejad . Saudi's and Dubai hurting and Russia's stock market down 80%.
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    Postby Rhiannon » Tue Oct 28, 2008 5:21 am

    squirt1 wrote:Some gas stations in Cincinnati UNDER $2.00


    Hmm... that's along my route back to Virginia... if that'll just hold for four more weeks I am so home for Thanksgiving. :D
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    Postby Rick » Tue Oct 28, 2008 5:39 am

    strangegrey wrote:
    Rick wrote:Everyone needs to watch this video. Make of it what you will, but at least watch it. This is what StocktontoMalone is talking about. The facts that are brought are damn hard to refute.

    http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid ... isis&hl=en


    Rick, thanks for the video...watching it now...but the first 5 minutes are rather chilling...


    He takes forever to get to his point, but once he does, it's pretty unnerving. Whether it's all true or not, I'm glad people are at least giving it a look.
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    Everything is a crisis

    Postby journeyon31 » Tue Oct 28, 2008 8:59 am

    There is no energy crisis and the banking "crisis" will also be shortlived. All of this is a natural business cycle (a correction), which happens about every 20 years. The stock market always recovers, just look at the trends.

    It is also an election year, so everything gets magnified 300-fold because it's the only way liberals can win -- scare tactics.
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    Re: Everything is a crisis

    Postby S2M » Tue Oct 28, 2008 9:13 am

    journeyon31 wrote:There is no energy crisis and the banking "crisis" will also be shortlived. All of this is a natural business cycle (a correction), which happens about every 20 years. The stock market always recovers, just look at the trends.

    It is also an election year, so everything gets magnified 300-fold because it's the only way liberals can win -- scare tactics.



    Wow...liberals using scare tactics. WMDs.....WMDs.....WMDs.
    Tom Brady IS the G.O.A.T.
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    Postby Rhiannon » Wed Nov 12, 2008 5:57 am

    WHAT THE SHIT

    Below $60/barrel? Everything is down, down, down, and it's winter to boot?

    :shock:

    Did I miss something?

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    Postby KenTheDude » Wed Nov 12, 2008 6:02 am

    Rhiannon wrote:WHAT THE SHIT

    Below $60/barrel? Everything is down, down, down, and it's winter to boot?

    :shock:

    Did I miss something?

    Image



    Friday I'm going to buy 2000 shares of Ford stock. GM has dropped over 50% in just ONE WEEK! Time to BUY!
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    Postby 4everkop » Wed Nov 12, 2008 6:55 am

    Umm, i paid 2.06$ last night, and right across the street the price for gas was 1.87$ Unfortunately I couldn't get to the cheaper one because there were too many cars in the tiny gas station. i was at empty, put 10 bucks in the puppy, half a tank. I was happy.
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    Postby S2M » Wed Nov 12, 2008 7:59 am

    4everkop wrote:Umm, i paid 2.06$ last night, and right across the street the price for gas was 1.87$ Unfortunately I couldn't get to the cheaper one because there were too many cars in the tiny gas station. i was at empty, put 10 bucks in the puppy, half a tank. I was happy.



    Unfortunately, a 19 cents difference, even if you are filling your 15 gallon tank only makes a $2.85 savings... less if you aren't filling up.
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